Lebanon — Sovereign Signal
BT-SFS 33.1/100 · D
Score and market snapshot
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| BT-SFS score | 33.1 / 100 |
| Rank | — |
| Composite rating | D |
| Agency ratings | Moody's C · S&P D |
| Benchmark USD bond | LEBAN 6.65 30 |
| Spread over Treasuries | — |
| Yield to worst | — |
| Duration | — |
Pillar scores
| Pillar | Score (0-100) |
|---|---|
| Fiscal | 58.2 |
| External | 56.8 |
| Macro | 55.8 |
| Institutions | 0.0 |
The nine metrics behind the score
| Metric | Pillar | Raw value | Score | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| General government debt / GDP | Fiscal | 139.4% | 1.0 | IMF | 2025 |
| Interest expense / revenue | Fiscal | 3.5% | 82.3 | IMF | 2025 |
| Primary balance / GDP | Fiscal | 3.9% | 96.9 | IMF | 2025 |
| Current account / GDP | External | -22.5% | 1.0 | IMF | 2025 |
| International reserves, months of imports | External | 13.6 mo | 98.9 | World Bank | 2023 |
| Inflation stress | Macro | 14.6% | 59.7 | IMF | 2025 |
| Real GDP growth | Macro | 4.0% | 71.9 | IMF | 2025 |
| GDP per capita, USD | Macro | $6,443 | 34.4 | IMF | 2025 |
| Institutional quality | Institutions | -1.17 | 0.0 | WGI composite | 2024 |
Score history
Applying the current methodology to historical sources, Lebanon moves from 37.2 in 2016 to 33.1 in 2026 (-4.1 points over ten years).
Default and restructuring registry
2020: payment_default (high) — Fitch Ratings.
Frequently asked questions
What is Lebanon's sovereign credit score?
Lebanon scores 33.1/100 on the BT Sovereign Fundamentals Score. The score is built from nine public IMF and World Bank metrics across fiscal, external, macro, and institutions pillars.
Which Lebanon USD bond does BondTerminal track?
LEBAN 6.65 30 (ISIN XS1196419854), the near-5-year USD benchmark.
Related
- All 51 sovereigns ranked on the Sovereign Signal hub.
- BT-SFS methodology paper — every metric, weight, and transformation, in public.