Benin — Sovereign Signal
BT-SFS 49.8/100 · BB− · 240 bps over Treasuries
Score and market snapshot
Benin trades 79 bps wide of its fundamentals fit (fitted spread 161 bps).
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| BT-SFS score | 49.8 / 100 |
| Rank | — |
| Composite rating | BB− |
| Agency ratings | Moody's Ba3 · S&P BB- · Fitch B+ |
| Benchmark USD bond | BENIN 7.96 38 |
| Spread over Treasuries | 240bps |
| Yield to worst | 7.37% |
| Duration | 6.8y |
Pillar scores
| Pillar | Score (0-100) |
|---|---|
| Fiscal | 51.5 |
| External | 34.8 |
| Macro | 71.3 |
| Institutions | 45.8 |
The nine metrics behind the score
| Metric | Pillar | Raw value | Score | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current account / GDP | External | -5.0% | 14.6 | IMF | 2026 |
| International reserves, months of imports | External | — | 50.0 | missing | |
| General government debt / GDP | Fiscal | 57.2% | 60.4 | IMF | 2026 |
| Interest expense / revenue | Fiscal | 11.1% | 56.3 | IMF | 2026 |
| Primary balance / GDP | Fiscal | -1.1% | 35.4 | IMF | 2026 |
| WGI institutional composite | Institutions | -0.28 | 45.8 | WGI composite | 2024 |
| Real GDP growth | Macro | 7.0% | 100.0 | IMF | 2026 |
| GDP per capita, USD | Macro | $1,809 | 4.2 | IMF | 2026 |
| Inflation stress | Macro | 2.0% | 100.0 | IMF | 2026 |
Score history
Applying the current methodology to historical sources, Benin moves from 45.8 in 2016 to 49.8 in 2026 (+4.1 points over ten years).
Default and restructuring registry
No bond default or restructuring events in the registry window.
Frequently asked questions
What is Benin's sovereign credit score?
Benin scores 49.8/100 on the BT Sovereign Fundamentals Score. The score is built from nine public IMF and World Bank metrics across fiscal, external, macro, and institutions pillars.
Which Benin USD bond does BondTerminal track?
BENIN 7.96 38 (ISIN XS2759982064), the near-5-year USD benchmark, currently 240 bps over Treasuries with a 7.37% yield to worst.
Is Benin trading wide or tight of its fundamentals?
Benin trades 79 bps wide of its fundamentals fit (fitted spread 161 bps).
Related
- All 51 sovereigns ranked on the Sovereign Signal hub.
- BT-SFS methodology paper — every metric, weight, and transformation, in public.
- Cote d'Ivoire — regional peer, BT-SFS 51.5 · 174 bps.
- Senegal — regional peer, BT-SFS 41.4 · 1753 bps.
- Zambia — regional peer, BT-SFS 25.0 · 203 bps.