Jordan — Sovereign Signal
BT-SFS 56.5/100 · BB− · 136 bps over Treasuries
Score and market snapshot
Jordan trades 9 bps wide of its fundamentals fit (fitted spread 127 bps).
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| BT-SFS score | 56.5 / 100 |
| Rank | 17 of 51 |
| Composite rating | BB− |
| Agency ratings | Moody's Ba3 · S&P BB- · Fitch BB- |
| Benchmark USD bond | JORDAN 5.85 30 |
| Spread over Treasuries | 136 bps |
| Yield to worst | 5.51% |
| Duration | 3.5y |
Pillar scores
| Pillar | Score (0-100) |
|---|---|
| Fiscal | 38.2 |
| External | 55.1 |
| Macro | 60.0 |
| Institutions | 77.1 |
The nine metrics behind the score
| Metric | Pillar | Raw value | Score | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current account / GDP | External | -6.2% | 7.3 | IMF | 2026 |
| International reserves, months of imports | External | 7.8 mo | 91.1 | World Bank | 2024 |
| General government debt / GDP | Fiscal | 81.8% | 25.0 | IMF | 2026 |
| Interest expense / revenue | Fiscal | 20.1% | 27.1 | IMF | 2026 |
| Primary balance / GDP | Fiscal | 0.2% | 66.7 | IMF | 2026 |
| WGI institutional composite | Institutions | 0.22 | 77.1 | WGI composite | 2024 |
| Real GDP growth | Macro | 2.7% | 37.5 | IMF | 2026 |
| GDP per capita, USD | Macro | $5,601 | 29.2 | IMF | 2026 |
| Inflation stress | Macro | 2.3% | 100.0 | IMF | 2026 |
Score history
Applying the current methodology to historical sources, Jordan moves from 57.4 in 2016 to 56.5 in 2026 (-0.9 points over ten years).
Default and restructuring registry
No bond default or restructuring events in the registry window.
Frequently asked questions
What is Jordan's sovereign credit score?
Jordan scores 56.5/100 on the BT Sovereign Fundamentals Score, ranking 17 of 51 sovereigns covered. The score is built from nine public IMF and World Bank metrics across fiscal, external, macro, and institutions pillars.
Which Jordan USD bond does BondTerminal track?
JORDAN 5.85 30 (ISIN XS2199272662), the near-5-year USD benchmark, currently 136 bps over Treasuries with a 5.51% yield to worst.
Is Jordan trading wide or tight of its fundamentals?
Jordan trades 9 bps wide of its fundamentals fit (fitted spread 127 bps).
Related
- All 51 sovereigns ranked on the Sovereign Signal hub.
- BT-SFS methodology paper — every metric, weight, and transformation, in public.
- Jordan vs Morocco — fundamentals and spreads head to head.
- Saudi Arabia — regional peer, BT-SFS 77.5 · 75 bps.
- Bahrain — regional peer, BT-SFS 45.5 · 269 bps.
- Oman — regional peer, BT-SFS 80.0 · 79 bps.